报告题目:Diffusion limit for the partner model at the critical value
报告人:Dr Eric Foxall (University of Alberta)
报告时间:2019年6月12日(星期三)上午9:00-11:00
报告地点:上海理工大学南校区四教414教室
报告摘要:The partner model is an epidemic in a population with random formation and dissolution of partnerships, and with disease transmission only occuring within partnerships. Foxall, Edwards, and van den Driessche [7] found the critical value and studied the subcritical and supercritical regimes. Recently Foxall [4] has shown that (if there are enough initial infecteds ) the extinction time in the critical model is of order . Here we improve that result by proving the convergence of to a limiting diffusion. We do this by showing that within a short time, this four dimensional process collapses to two dimensions: the number of and partnerships are constant multiples of the number of infected singles. The other variable, the total number of singles, fluctuates around its equilibrium like an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of magnitude on the original time scale and averages out of the limit theorem for . As a by-product of our proof we show that if is the extinction time of (on the time scale) then has a limit.